BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Saturday, December 21, 2024
#6 Penn State 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.76 |
26.76 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.68 |
377.68 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Penn State 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense (#11)
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
34.82 |
46.52 (+11.70) |
33.62 |
34.32 (+0.70) |
34.32 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
378.73 |
395.79 (+17.06) |
447.46 |
459.17 (+11.70) |
459.17 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.52 |
5.95 (+0.43) |
6.77 |
6.95 (+0.18) |
6.95 (+0.00) |
Defense (#4)
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
11.82 |
8.45 (-3.36) |
16.38 |
17.99 (+1.60) |
17.99 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
231.91 |
239.62 (+7.71) |
282.23 |
294.42 (+12.19) |
294.42 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
3.86 |
3.68 (-0.18) |
4.56 |
4.58 (+0.02) |
4.58 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.1 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
@West Virginia |
38.68 |
20.93 |
-17.75 |
59.61 |
78.47% |
W 34-12 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Bowling Green |
33.26 |
14.42 |
-18.83 |
47.68 |
80.21% |
W 34-27 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-21 |
Kent State |
60.80 |
5.92 |
-54.88 |
66.72 |
99.90% |
W 56-0 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-28 |
Illinois |
37.87 |
19.36 |
-18.51 |
57.23 |
79.69% |
W 21-7 |
4-0 |
| 2024-10-05 |
UCLA |
34.16 |
14.24 |
-19.92 |
48.41 |
81.94% |
W 27-11 |
5-0 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@USC |
30.73 |
25.99 |
-4.74 |
56.71 |
57.60% |
W 33-30 |
6-0 |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Wisconsin |
31.19 |
17.78 |
-13.41 |
48.97 |
71.51% |
W 28-13 |
7-0 |
| 2024-11-02 |
Ohio State |
18.37 |
26.72 |
+8.35 |
45.09 |
36.60% |
L 13-20 |
7-1 |
| 2024-11-10 |
Washington |
33.15 |
15.43 |
-17.72 |
48.58 |
78.41% |
W 35-6 |
8-1 |
| 2024-11-16 |
@Purdue |
52.66 |
11.02 |
-41.64 |
63.67 |
99.90% |
W 49-10 |
9-1 |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Minnesota |
26.24 |
19.94 |
-6.31 |
46.18 |
60.11% |
W 26-25 |
10-1 |
| 2024-11-30 |
Maryland |
42.90 |
16.73 |
-26.17 |
59.64 |
91.97% |
W 44-7 |
11-1 |
| 2024-12-08 |
@Oregon |
26.30 |
30.99 |
+4.69 |
57.28 |
42.48% |
L 37-45 |
11-2 |
| 2024-12-21 |
SMU |
32.40 |
28.28 |
-4.12 |
60.68 |
56.61% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 11-3 |
43.43% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 12-2 |
56.57% |
43.43% |
56.57% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 3-11 |
0.00% |
| 4-10 |
0.01% |
| 5-9 |
0.14% |
| 6-8 |
0.81% |
| 7-7 |
3.34% |
| 8-6 |
9.18% |
| 9-5 |
18.89% |
| 10-4 |
25.46% |
| 11-3 |
23.27% |
| 12-2 |
13.80% |
| 13-1 |
4.44% |
| 14-0 |
0.66% |