BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
Penn State 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
Penn State 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
34.82 |
46.52 (+11.70) |
33.00 |
33.21 (+0.21) |
33.21 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
378.73 |
395.79 (+17.06) |
454.10 |
464.19 (+10.09) |
464.19 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.52 |
5.95 (+0.43) |
7.00 |
7.16 (+0.16) |
7.16 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
11.82 |
8.45 (-3.36) |
13.60 |
15.29 (+1.69) |
15.29 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
231.91 |
239.62 (+7.71) |
272.80 |
283.69 (+10.89) |
283.69 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
3.86 |
3.68 (-0.18) |
4.49 |
4.46 (-0.02) |
4.46 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.1 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
@West Virginia |
36.72 |
21.01 |
-15.71 |
57.73 |
75.19% |
W 34-12 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Bowling Green |
31.49 |
12.10 |
-19.38 |
43.59 |
81.09% |
W 34-27 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-21 |
Kent State |
60.38 |
5.37 |
-55.01 |
65.75 |
99.90% |
W 56-0 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-28 |
Illinois |
35.00 |
15.24 |
-19.76 |
50.23 |
81.69% |
W 21-7 |
4-0 |
| 2024-10-05 |
UCLA |
36.49 |
12.93 |
-23.56 |
49.41 |
87.78% |
W 27-11 |
5-0 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@USC |
28.85 |
23.03 |
-5.82 |
51.88 |
59.33% |
W 33-30 |
6-0 |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Wisconsin |
25.91 |
16.30 |
-9.61 |
42.21 |
65.42% |
W 28-13 |
7-0 |
| 2024-11-02 |
Ohio State |
18.14 |
24.60 |
+6.46 |
42.74 |
39.63% |
L 13-20 |
7-1 |
| 2024-11-10 |
Washington |
30.07 |
12.53 |
-17.54 |
42.59 |
78.14% |
W 35-6 |
8-1 |
| 2024-11-16 |
@Purdue |
51.98 |
11.04 |
-40.95 |
63.02 |
99.90% |
W 49-10 |
9-1 |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Minnesota |
26.36 |
16.48 |
-9.88 |
42.83 |
65.85% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
Maryland |
41.65 |
16.78 |
-24.88 |
58.43 |
89.90% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 9-3 |
3.45% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 10-2 |
37.46% |
3.45% |
96.55% |
| 11-1 |
59.09% |
40.92% |
59.08% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-10 |
0.00% |
| 3-9 |
0.00% |
| 4-8 |
0.04% |
| 5-7 |
0.38% |
| 6-6 |
2.02% |
| 7-5 |
7.45% |
| 8-4 |
18.20% |
| 9-3 |
27.90% |
| 10-2 |
26.73% |
| 11-1 |
14.15% |
| 12-0 |
3.12% |