BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Penn State 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Penn State 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
34.82 |
46.52 (+11.70) |
34.17 |
32.42 (-1.75) |
35.94 (+3.53) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
378.73 |
395.79 (+17.06) |
471.17 |
486.27 (+15.11) |
463.65 (-22.62) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.52 |
5.95 (+0.43) |
7.13 |
7.27 (+0.14) |
6.94 (-0.33) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
11.82 |
8.45 (-3.36) |
14.50 |
15.68 (+1.18) |
13.87 (-1.81) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
231.91 |
239.62 (+7.71) |
262.67 |
274.54 (+11.88) |
265.81 (-8.73) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
3.86 |
3.68 (-0.18) |
4.38 |
4.52 (+0.14) |
4.31 (-0.21) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.1 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
@West Virginia |
31.15 |
21.45 |
-9.70 |
52.60 |
65.56% |
W 34-12 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Bowling Green |
40.02 |
11.72 |
-28.31 |
51.74 |
95.40% |
W 34-27 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-21 |
Kent State |
66.47 |
5.30 |
-61.17 |
71.77 |
99.90% |
W 56-0 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-28 |
Illinois |
37.87 |
15.20 |
-22.66 |
53.07 |
86.35% |
W 21-7 |
4-0 |
| 2024-10-05 |
UCLA |
31.51 |
10.88 |
-20.62 |
42.39 |
83.08% |
W 27-11 |
5-0 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@USC |
29.22 |
25.34 |
-3.88 |
54.56 |
56.23% |
W 33-30 |
6-0 |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Wisconsin |
25.99 |
17.74 |
-8.25 |
43.73 |
63.23% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
Ohio State |
17.48 |
27.55 |
+10.07 |
45.03 |
33.86% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
Washington |
28.70 |
15.28 |
-13.42 |
43.98 |
71.53% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
@Purdue |
51.30 |
15.57 |
-35.73 |
66.87 |
99.90% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Minnesota |
28.71 |
15.18 |
-13.53 |
43.89 |
71.70% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
Maryland |
36.82 |
20.27 |
-16.55 |
57.10 |
76.54% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 7-5 |
0.47% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 8-4 |
4.82% |
0.47% |
99.53% |
| 9-3 |
19.48% |
5.29% |
94.71% |
| 10-2 |
36.17% |
24.77% |
75.23% |
| 11-1 |
30.70% |
60.93% |
39.07% |
| 12-0 |
8.37% |
91.63% |
8.37% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 3-9 |
0.00% |
| 4-8 |
0.05% |
| 5-7 |
0.51% |
| 6-6 |
2.81% |
| 7-5 |
9.49% |
| 8-4 |
20.36% |
| 9-3 |
28.90% |
| 10-2 |
24.38% |
| 11-1 |
11.38% |
| 12-0 |
2.13% |